July 13, 2026Crypto Michaël
Amsterdam trader
171,000 subscribers171,000 followers
59
Fair258
Predictions
228
Evaluated
Six-Pillar Breakdown
Outcome Alignment
22%
45
Specificity Quality
20%
64
Consistency
15%
40
Transparency
15%
90
Accountability
15%
0
Calibration
13%
68
Strengths
- Strong: How often claims are backed by external sources
- Strong: Presence of sponsorship and paid promotion disclosures
- Strong: Clear disclosure of affiliate relationships and referral codes
Areas for Improvement
- Weak: Whether mistakes are acknowledged and corrected publicly
- Weak: Depth and transparency of error explanations
- Weak: Percentage of wrong predictions that are publicly acknowledged
Top Assets Covered
BTC(138)ETH(41)XLM(7)W(6)OP(6)NEAR(6)ALGO(5)LINK(4)VET(3)WOO(3)
Claim Ledger — Sample Evidence
OPEN
BTC
sourceIf I see Bitcoin peeking out or looking to consolidate or to correct, that is going to be a case where I'm looking to be derisking my entire portfolio.
OPEN
W
sourceWormhole is probably very interesting to look at is the fact that there's so much volume being traded right now, which is usually preceding a potential breakout to the upside.
OPEN
NEAR
sourceadding money right now is adding it into positions that actually make sense and that have been showing some strength. So on the May 1, I've been adding 5,000 into NEAR
PARTIAL
ETH
sourceEthereum outperforms Bitcoin or altcoins in general. This can take a few weeks before it starts to catch up, maybe even a few months.
OPEN
BTC
sourceinstitutional buyers for the Bitcoin ETF are sticky. They haven't been selling in the entire crash. They expect the market to continue to rally.
OPEN
NEAR
sourceit's clearly saying that [NEAR] starts to get into a run at this point... once we get towards the €1.75, €1.85, that's when we need to start trimming.
Showing 8 of 214 documented claims. Full ledger at athenaindex.com/influencers/CryptoMichNL
Athena Index Score Guide
80–100
Excellent
Highly reliable
60–79
Good
Above average
40–59
Fair
Mixed results
0–39
Poor
Low credibility
Athena Index v1.24.0 · Credibility is behavioral, not performative
athenaindex.comThis score is calculated from 214 data points across 100+ factors in 6 pillars. Scores update as new evidence is collected. Full methodology at athenaindex.com/methodology.
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