July 13, 2026Ivan on Tech
Blockchain developer and educator
531,000 subscribers531,000 followers
77
Good385
Predictions
273
Evaluated
Six-Pillar Breakdown
Outcome Alignment
22%
49
Specificity Quality
20%
66
Consistency
15%
53
Transparency
15%
77
Accountability
15%
77
Calibration
13%
75
Strengths
- Strong: How often claims are backed by external sources
- Strong: Presence of sponsorship and paid promotion disclosures
- Strong: Clear disclosure of affiliate relationships and referral codes
Areas for Improvement
- Weak: Number of unexplained position reversals (bullish → bearish or vice versa)
- Weak: Encouragement of independent verification
- Weak: Depth and quality of reasoning provided
Top Assets Covered
BTC(257)ETH(38)SOL(24)XRP(11)BNB(7)SUI(6)ZEC(5)UNI(5)TIA(3)TAO(3)
Claim Ledger — Sample Evidence
OPEN
SOL
sourceLooking at Solana, looking at different alts, we have Sol. I mean, consolidating a bit, kind of wanting to take the next leg down into our fantastic fantastic, buy zone right here over our thirties.
OPEN
BTC
sourceShould sailor get sued? Should anything bad happen? Sailor maybe sells Bitcoin into into low demand market and we'll go to 40 k.
OPEN
BTC
sourcebig big risk for Bitcoin that this is going to be a rejection down towards the 50s, down towards the 40s
OPEN
BTC
sourcethere's a big big risk for Bitcoin that this is going to be a rejection down towards the 50s, down towards the 40s
OPEN
ETH
sourcewhales are positioning bullish. you have 63 million 40x long, 40 54 million 10x long. So that's on ETH
OPEN
BTC
sourceBitcoin is around 200E moving average. We're bouncing around here, a bit above, a bit below.
Showing 8 of 183 documented claims. Full ledger at athenaindex.com/influencers/IvanOnTech
Athena Index Score Guide
80–100
Excellent
Highly reliable
60–79
Good
Above average
40–59
Fair
Mixed results
0–39
Poor
Low credibility
Athena Index v1.24.0 · Credibility is behavioral, not performative
athenaindex.comThis score is calculated from 183 data points across 100+ factors in 6 pillars. Scores update as new evidence is collected. Full methodology at athenaindex.com/methodology.
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